The primary source of qualified and up-to-date hurricane information is the National Hurricane Center (of the USA): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
On the home page, you'll find a map, with markers for the storms active at the time you open the site.
Today, we research Hurricane Jerry. Shown below is an image of Sept. 19, 2019. We added an arrow to point to St. Maarten for our geographically-challenged readers. If you click on the NHC website on 'Jerry', a page with information about this specific weather system opens up.
There is a tab for graphics. We select the option for wind speed probabilities. The image below shows the chance of getting hit by tropical-storm-force winds.
At first glance, the colors of this graphic look scary. You need to read the legend on the bottom of the image to understand it.
On this picture, St. Maarten is located in a green zone. This zone is marked with as having a 20 to 30 % chance of experiencing tropical-storm-force winds. Please reverse this number to realize that according to this forecast, there is a probability of 70 to 80 % that SXM will NOT experience a storm.
The next image shows the probability to experience a hurricane. With St. Maarten, we are outside the danger zone. There is ZERO probability of experiencing a hurricane according to this forecast.
Conclusion: According to this forecast, there is only a small chance that St. Maarten will experience strong wind, and there won't be a hurricane coming to the island during the next days.
If you are inclined to follow a system for a few days and want to develop a 'feel' for these weather phenomena, go through the trouble of opening and reading the 'Discussion' tab. Here, the meteorologist on duty is expressing in a scientifically more relaxed manner his or her 'gut feelings' of what is going to happen. This 'Discussion' sometimes offers way more insights than the official public advisory.
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